12 Sept · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kanak
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1521
FormWLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (60)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)