12 Sept · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1516
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1596
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)