12 Sept · 15:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1440
FormLWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1604
FormWWLLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (90)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+164
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)