12 Sept · 14:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1604
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koutnik
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Kratochvil covers set handicap as underdog 71% (45)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)