12 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1590
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Macurak
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 78% (32)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.