12 Sept · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1461
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1495
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.