12 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1548
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Budik
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1455
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kratochvil🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (61)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)