12 Sept · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1630
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lysakowski
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1555
FormWLLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H52-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-46)