12 Sept · 17:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1366
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pesout
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1395
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.