12 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1597
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skulina
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1522
FormLWLLW
56%
44%
🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 74% (62)
Fair odds · Skulina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+75
H2H6-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)