12 Sept · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1521
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jnr
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1447
FormWLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Jnr stays under total as favourite 66% (44)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)