12 Sept · 20:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Boltik
ELO 1574
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Boltik
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1569
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Boltik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.