12 Sept · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JM
🇨🇿Jirasek Martin
ELO 1545
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Martin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1468
FormWLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Martin stays under total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Martin
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)