12 Sept · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pokorny
ELO 1536
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pokorny
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1483
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pokorny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.