Michal Lysakowski vs Marcin Stepien

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12 Sep · 11:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1643

3-0Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Marcin Stepien

ELO 1625

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 50%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Marcin Stepien — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.7

Favourite won

Total 78.5

54 points played

Under

Set handicap

Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lysakowski −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

8.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Stepien.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 54% → final 100%

Marcin Stepien ▼

Biggest swing 59 ptsLysakowski recovered from 41%53 points · 3 games