12 Sept · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1522
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heuman
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1505
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (51)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.