12 Sept · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1505
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Heuman
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1522
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (51)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H19-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.