12 Sept · 17:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1466
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hula
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1483
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Hula goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Hula
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.