12 Sep · 15:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1652
3-0Final setsDuch won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1693
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Guzy at 51%. The actual result was Adam Duch 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Guzy favoured — closing 1.85
Total 77.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Guzy −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Guzy −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 45% → final 99%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsDuch recovered from 36%51 points · 3 games