12 Sept · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1512
FormLLLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1693
FormLWWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+181
H2H69-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-43)