13 Sept · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1614
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skvrna
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (85)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H42-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (42-34)