13 Sept · 08:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Neterda
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1418
FormLLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)