13 Sept · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1621
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1521
FormWLWWW
58%
42%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (108)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+100
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)