13 Sept · 09:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Stusek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1653
FormWWWLL
37%
63%
🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (105)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+158
H2H23-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-21)