13 Sept · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Cerny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1763
FormWWLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H20-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-6)