13 Sept · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1480
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Jr goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)