13 Sept · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1668
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorisek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H127-113
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (127-113)