13 Sept · 08:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1588
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chaloupka
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1577
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Skalicky covers set handicap as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H8-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.