13 Sept · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Drozd
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1445
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Jokiel covers set handicap as underdog 62% (61)
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)