13 Sept · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1453
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Skvor rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (66)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.