13 Sept · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sebl
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1530
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H23-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-17)