13 Sept · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1327
FormLLLLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Cibik
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
33%
67%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (112)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+219
H2H26-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-11)