13 Sept · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1532
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jirka
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Rek goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.