13 Sept · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1514
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lahodny
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1418
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Lahodny
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)