13 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Strejc
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Soucek
ELO 1495
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Strejc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (50)
Fair odds · Strejc
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H24-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-22)