13 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1521
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Skvrna
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1614
FormLWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (144)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H17-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-10)