13 Sept · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1394
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Manhal Jr
ELO 1480
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)