13 Sept · 13:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1532
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jirka
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1530
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.