13 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1653
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stusek
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1585
FormWWLWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Stusek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (105)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H84-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (84-73)