13 Sept · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1621
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Krupnik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1524
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krenek🌟Krenek goes over total as underdog 68% (85)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+97
H2H43-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (43-39)