13 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1327
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dusek
ZD
🇨🇿Zdenek Dusek
ELO 1412
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Dusek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)