13 Sept · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1540
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Neterda
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1514
FormWWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H11-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.