13 Sept · 13:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1445
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jokiel
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Jokiel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (44)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H14-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.