13 Sept · 10:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1632
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kocab
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1618
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.