13 Sept · 13:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1510
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Drozd
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1422
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)