13 Sept · 09:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1650
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Duch
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1514
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+136
H2H65-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (65-43)