13 Sept · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bilski Bartosz
ELO 1527
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bucko
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1591
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Bucko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)