13 Sept · 20:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1586
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Moravec
ELO 1499
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)