13 Sept · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1586
FormLLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Macurak
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
56%
44%
🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (39)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)