13 Sept · 23:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Cerny
ELO 1773
FormLWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Cerny
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1536
FormLLLWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+237
H2H15-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+237)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-14)